A fresh prop bet question lit up poker Twitter this week, and it didn’t take long for big names to start throwing around eye-popping numbers. The challenge? Go an entire year drinking nothing but water, carried with you at all times in a backpack. No coffee. No wine. No shortcuts.

As expected, opinions ranged from fearless confidence to outright horror.

From “My Net Worth” to “Absolutely Not”

Shaun Deeb was quick to frame the risk in blunt terms, suggesting that even a $500,000 wager would carry a very high chance of slipping up.

Nik “Airball” Arcot, never one to shy away from betting on himself, fired back with trademark bravado. He said he’d take the bet at even money, and when pressed by Ben Lamb for his maximum exposure, Airball didn’t hesitate.

“My net worth.”

That confidence wasn’t universally shared.

Haley Hanna delivered perhaps the most relatable reaction of the entire thread, shutting the idea down immediately.

“Literally could not pay me to do this,” she wrote. “Imagine how annoying going to a restaurant and having to drink only water out of a backpack. I don’t think it’s even necessarily healthy to only drink water lol. Like no coffee or wine for a year?? Nope, no thanks.”

When Lamb pushed her to put a number on it anyway, Hanna relented—sort of.

“Tbh probably around 500K.”

Even World Champs Aren’t Sure They’d Win

The skepticism didn’t stop there. Chris Moneymaker, whose career has been built on beating long odds, admitted this bet might be too much.

“1 million and I would prob lose,” he said.

Mike McDonald, ever the strategist, zeroed in on a crucial logistical detail that many had overlooked.

“Who pays for the water?”

Meanwhile, 2018 WSOP Main Event champion Joe Cada offered a more altruistic spin, saying he’d do it for $350,000—and donate half.

Would You Take the Bet?

Between social inconvenience, health questions, and the sheer grind of perfection for 365 straight days, this prop bet clearly hits a nerve—even among elite gamblers accustomed to risk.

So what about you?
Is there a number that makes it worth it, or is carrying a backpack full of water everywhere for a year simply too much of a burden?